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PART 15

Worth vs What You Pay: Stock Valuation

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Chapter 15.03

Relative and Historical Valuation

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  1. 01Cheaper than what?
  2. 02Historical valuation bands and mean reversionsoon
  3. 03Sector and market-level valuation contextsoon
  4. 04Justified premium vs unjustified premiumsoon
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Chapter 15.04

Intrinsic Valuation

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  1. 01DCF structure step by stepsoon
  2. 02Forecasting revenue, margins, capex, working capitalsoon
  3. 03Discount rate: WACC, cost of equity, risk premiumsoon
  4. 04Terminal value and its dominance of the resultsoon
  5. 05Sensitivity tables and scenario analysissoon
  6. 06Reverse DCF: what is the market already assuming?soon
  7. 07Simplified models: earnings power value, dividend discountsoon
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Chapter 15.05

Valuation Judgement

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  1. 01Cheap vs undervalued: the value trapsoon
  2. 02Expensive vs overvalued: the quality premiumsoon
  3. 03Good company ≠ good stock at every pricesoon
  4. 04Margin of safety, quantifiedsoon
  5. 05Time arbitrage and when valuation gets paidsoon
  6. 06Where valuation and technicals must agree before you actsoon
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