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PART 07

Obvious Only Later: Chart Patterns

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Before you begin

A shape is easy to name after the move. This book asks what you could have seen before it.

The questions it answers

  • What a pattern records about earlier prices, and what it cannot reveal about traders' motives
  • Why a prior trend, a clear boundary and the time spent forming matter more than a familiar outline
  • How reversal, continuation and base patterns differ while they are still forming
  • What a breakout, retest or failure would need to show before the reading changes
  • Why a measured target or a precise wave count is a claim to test, not a promised destination

Part 03 taught you to check the chart and Part 04 taught you to read a candle in context. Here you ask what a sequence of candles actually supports.

How this book is different

  • Read each shape as an unfinished structure before giving it a name.
  • Keep volume, invalidation and the possibility of failure beside every interpretation.
  • Separate an observable pattern from a system that can always redraw its answer later.
Chapter 07.04

Base Building and Contraction

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  1. 01What a base is and why it precedes major movessoon
  2. 02Volatility contraction sequencessoon
  3. 03Base depth, length, and tightnesssoon
  4. 04Pivot points and buy triggers from basessoon
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Chapter 07.05

Trading the Pattern, Not the Picture

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  1. 01Breakout, breakdown, retestsoon
  2. 02Volume confirmation requirementssoon
  3. 03Measured move and projected targetssoon
  4. 04Failure modes: the failed pattern as a signal itselfsoon
  5. 05Hindsight bias: why every chart looks obvious latersoon
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Chapter 07.06

Pattern Systems That Claim More Than They Can Prove

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  1. 01What separates a pattern system from a patternsoon
  2. 02Elliott Wave: the five-three structure and its three unbreakable rulessoon
  3. 03Motive and corrective waves, and wave degreesoon
  4. 04Extensions, truncations, and alternationsoon
  5. 05The recount problem: why two analysts never agreesoon
  6. 06Harmonic patterns: AB=CD, Gartley, Bat, Butterfly, Crabsoon
  7. 07The potential reversal zone and pattern invalidationsoon
  8. 08Fibonacci ratios used as pattern definitionssoon
  9. 09Judging any framework by one question: what would prove it wrong?soon
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More chapters are being written.