Granthara01.03.05Same price, different reasons0%

01.03.05 · Same price, different reasons

At ₹500 somebody bought Bharat Foods and somebody sold it, in the same second, at the same number. One of them expects it to rise. The other was happy to let it go. It is tempting to assume one of them has made a mistake.

Both of them are right

A trade is not a disagreement about value. It is often not a disagreement at all.

Part 01 · Who Is on the Other Side of Your Trade
  1. 01.03.01 Retail, HNI, DII and FII explained
  2. 01.03.02 Promoters and insiders
  3. 01.03.03 Market makers, prop desks and HFT
  4. 01.03.04 Passive funds and index flows
  5. 01.03.05 Same price, different reasons
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Learn

The assumption worth losing

Beginners arrive believing a trade means one person is smart and the other foolish — that for every winner there must be a loser who misjudged the company.

Sometimes that is true. Far more often the two parties are not even answering the same question. One is investing for ten years and one is closing a position before a deadline. One has a view on the business and one is rebalancing a portfolio. Neither had to be wrong for the trade to happen.

See it

One price, four reasons

Every one of these people traded at ₹500 today. Tap each to see what they were actually doing.

Only the first of these was expressing an opinion about Bharat Foods.

The price is one number agreed by people who do not agree on anything else.

Learn

What the price therefore is, and is not

It is the one number at which the buying and the selling balanced at that instant. That is a real fact, and it is all of it.

It is not a considered judgement of what the company is worth. It contains forced sellers, mechanical buyers, people trading around a deadline and people who never read a page about the business. Their orders count exactly as much as yours.

This is why 01.01.05 was careful to say market capitalisation is a price being asked, not a value being proven. Everything in this chapter is the reason that distinction was worth making.

Try it

You buy at ₹500 and the price falls to ₹460 that week. What is the most defensible conclusion?

You now know what a share is, what it is worth, where it comes from, and who is on the other side of it. What you have not seen is the machinery that puts the two of you together.

Before you read this, which was true?

Remember

A trade needs a buyer and a seller, not a winner and a loser. The price is where their orders balanced — not a verdict anyone reached about the company.

Everything this chapter has told you, in order

  1. 01.03.01Retail, HNI, DII and FII explained
  2. 01.03.02Promoters and insiders
  3. 01.03.03Market makers, prop desks and HFT
  4. 01.03.04Passive funds and index flows
  5. 01.03.05Same price, different reasons
Next
01.04.01 — Price-time priority: how orders are matched

Your order and theirs met inside a matching engine, under rules that decide who gets filled first.