Granthara01.10.03What you can lose vs what you can afford to lose

This lesson teaches a decision distinction, not an amount suitable for you. Bharat Foods is illustrative; your income, savings, debts and deadlines are not known to the book.

01.10.03 · What you can lose vs what you can afford to lose

PreviouslyA forced sale can take away the choice to wait; survival protects that choice.

The market's limit is not yours.

You hold ten fully paid Bharat Foods shares bought for ₹5,000. What is the most the shares themselves could lose? Up to ₹5,000. Can you afford to lose ₹5,000? Nothing about the share answers that.

Maximum market loss describes the position. Affordable loss describes your obligations.

Updated

₹5,000
the purchase amount at risk in the illustrative, fully paid cash holding, before charges
Part 01 · The One Principle That Precedes Everything
  1. 01.10.01 Asymmetry of loss: why −50% needs +100%
  2. 01.10.02 Survival as the first objective
  3. 01.10.03 What you can lose vs what you can afford to lose
  4. 01.10.04 The three questions to answer before any trade (preview of PART 20)
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Learn

Three different questions hiding in ‘risk’

What can the position lose? On ten fully paid shares at ₹500, the market value could fall to zero. That would erase the ₹5,000 purchase amount; purchase charges are also spent. Limited liability, introduced in 01.01.08, means simply owning these paid-up shares does not make you responsible for the company's debts.

What can your finances bear? This depends on bills, debt, income, other savings and when you need the money. If losing ₹5,000 would stop you meeting an essential payment, the affordable loss is below ₹5,000, even though the position can lose that much.

What can you bear emotionally? Some people have money available but will panic after a smaller fall. That matters because an unplanned sale may happen before the original idea has had time to play out. Being willing to watch a loss is different from being financially able to absorb it.

See it

Tap the three limits before you choose an amount

Each asks about a different number. The first comes from the instrument; the other two come from your life.

If a choice depends on personal finances the book does not know, do not infer an answer from the ₹5,000 example.

Try it

The fully paid cash shares cost ₹5,000. You need ₹4,000 of that money for an essential payment next month. What can this lesson conclude?

Learn

Why the cash-share limit is not a universal limit

The ₹5,000 ceiling belongs to this fully paid cash purchase. If a person borrows to buy more shares, repayment remains due after a fall. Some leveraged products can lose more than the cash first put up. Do not transfer the cash-share limit to a different product or funding method.

A plan also needs to consider a loss smaller than total failure. If losing ₹1,000 would already disrupt an essential commitment, the fact that the position could lose ₹5,000 is enough to show the amount exposed is too large for that purpose. This is a way to test a proposed trade, not a formula telling everyone how much to invest.

Try it

Which statement is true of the reader's fully paid cash holding?

Learn

A test you can use

Write the money's job and deadline beside the amount you propose to put at risk. Ask whether a substantial loss would force a bill unpaid, a loan, or a sale of something else. If the answer is yes, revise the amount or the decision before you place an order.

Now the foundation is ready. The last lesson of Part 01 turns the maths and the capacity check into three questions to carry into Part 20, where a full trade plan will be built.

Remember

A fully paid cash share can lose its entire purchase value; the amount you can afford to lose depends on your obligations, deadline and willingness, not on that market limit.

Everything this chapter has told you, in order

  1. 01.10.01The percentage on the way back is measured from a smaller base: down 50% requires up 100%.
  2. 01.10.02Survival means retaining the ability to meet obligations and make the next decision.
  3. 01.10.03The position's possible loss and your capacity to bear it are different numbers.
Next
01.10.04 — The three questions to answer before any trade (preview of PART 20)

Next: three questions to answer before any trade.